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906
Stephen S. Morse, «Emerging Viruses: Defining the Rules for Viral Traffic», Perspectives in Biology and Medicine 34, no. 3 (1991), pp. 387–409; Joshua Lederberg, «Infectious Diseases as an Evolutionary Paradigm», Emerging Infectious Diseases 3, no. 4 (December 1997), pp. 417–423. См. также: Mark Honigsbaum, The Pandemic Century: A History of Global Contagion from the Spanish Flu to Covid-19 (London: Penguin, 2020), pp. 165f.
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907
D. Campbell-Lendrum, «Global Climate Change: Implications for International Public Health Policy», Bulletin of the World Health Organization 85, no. 3 (2007), pp. 235–237. См. также: World Health Organization, Climate Change and Human Health: Risks and Responses, Summary (Geneva: WHO, 2003).
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908
Kristian G. Andersen et al., «The Proximal Origin of SARS-CoV2», Nature Medicine 26 (2020), pp. 450–452, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-08209.
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909
Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2 with SARS-CoV and Influenza».
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910
Barabási, Network Science, chap. 10.
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911
J. O. Lloyd-Smith et al., «Superspreading and the Effect of Individual Variation on Disease Emergence», Nature 438 (2005), pp. 355–359, https://www.nature.com/articles/nature04153.
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912
См. в целом: Thomas Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague: The Story of SARS (Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 2007).
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913
Тяжелый острый респираторный синдром (англ.).
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914
Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague, p. 87.
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915
Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague, pp. 101–104.
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916
Richard D. Smith, «Responding to Global Infectious Disease Outbreaks: Lessons from SARS on the Role of Risk Perception, Communication and Management», Social Science and Medicine 63 (2006), pp. 3113–3123.
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917
V. Rossi and John Walker, «Assessing the Economic Impact and Costs of Flu Pandemics Originating in Asia», Oxford Economic Forecasting Group (2005), pp. 1-23.
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918
«COVID-19 Science Update for March 27th: Super-Spreaders and the Need for New Prediction Models», Quillette, March 27, 2020, https://quillette.com/2020/03/27/covid19science-update-for-march27super-spreaders-and-the-need-for-new-prediction-models/.
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919
Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2 with SARS-CoV and Influenza», table 1.
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920
David Quammen, Ebola: The Natural and Human History (London: Bodley Head, 2014), loc. 702-15, Kindle; Richard Preston, The Hot Zone (New York: Random House, 1994), p. 68.
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921
Laurie Garrett, «Ebola’s Lessons: How the WHO Mishandled the Crisis», Foreign Affairs 94, no. 5 (September/October 2015), pp. 80-107.
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922
Honigsbaum, Pandemic Century, pp. 202f.
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923
Garrett, «Ebola’s Lessons», pp. 94f.
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924
Garrett, «Ebola’s Lessons», p. 97.
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925
Zeynep Tufekci, «Ebola: The Real Reason Everyone Should Panic», Medium, October 23, 2014, https://medium.com/message/ebola-the-real-reason-everyone-should-panic-889f32740e3e.
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926
John Poole, «‘Shadow’ and ‘D12’ Sing an Infectious Song About Ebola», Morning Edition, NPR, August 19, 2014, https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2014/08/19/341412011/shadow-andd12singaninfectious-song-about-ebola.
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927
Airline Accident Fatalities Per Year, 1946–2017, Aviation Safety Network, https://aviation-safety.net/graphics/infographics/Airliner-Accident-Fatalities-Per-Year-1946–2017.jpg.
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928
Airliner Accidents Per 1 Million Flights, 1977–2017, Aviation Safety Network, https://aviation-safety.net/graphics/infographics/Fatal-Accidents-Per-Mln-Flights-1977–2017.jpg.
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929
Sebastian Junger, The Perfect Storm (New York: W. W. Norton, 1997).
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930
«Meteorologists Say ‘Perfect Storm’ Not So Perfect», Science Daily, June 29, 2000, https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2000/06/000628101549.htm
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931
James Reason, Human Error (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990), p. 175.
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932
Jens Rasmussen, «The Definition of Human Error and a Taxonomy for Technical Systems Design», in New Technology and Human Error, ed. J. Rasmussen, K. Duncan, and J. Leplat (London: Wiley, 1987), pp. 23–30.
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933
James B. Battles, «Disaster Prevention: Lessons Learned from the Titanic», Baylor University Medical Center Proceedings 14, no. 2 (April 2001), pp. 150–153.
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934
Roy Mengot, «Titanic and the Iceberg», Titanic Research and Modeling Association, https://web.archive.org/web/20130920234448/http://titanic-model.com/db/db02/rmdb2.html.
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935
«Did Anyone Really Think the Titanic Was Unsinkable?» Brita
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936
History.com, «The Titanic: Sinking & Facts», November 9, 2009, updated March 10, 2020, https://www.history.com/topics/early-20th-centuryus/titanic.
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937
Battles, «Disaster Prevention», p. 151.
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938
Andrew Wilson, Shadow of the Titanic: The Extraordinary Stories of Those Who Survived (New York; Atria, 2012), p. 7. См. также: Frances Wilson, How to Survive the Titanic, or The Sinking of J. Bruce Ismay (London: Bloomsbury, 2012).
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939
Atlanticus, «The Unlearned Lesson of the Titanic», Atlantic (August 1913), https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1913/08/the-unlearned-lessonofthe-titanic/308866/.
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940
Mikael Elinder and Oscar Erixson, «Every Man for Himself! Gender, Norms and Survival in Maritime Disasters», IFN Working Paper No. 913 (April 2, 2012) Research Institute of Industrial Economics (Stockholm).
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941
Bob Vosseller, «Remembering the Hindenburg Is Important for All», Jersey Shore Online, May 6, 2017, https://www.jerseyshoreonline.com/ocean-county/remembering-hindenburg-passion-important/.
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942
National Geographic Cha
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943
Joa
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944
Karl E. Weick, «The Vulnerable System: An Analysis of the Tenerife Air Disaster», Journal of Management 16, no. 3 (1990), p. 573.