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Artem Shadrin: And this is facilitated by technologies, take videoconferencing for example.
Kirill Ignatyev: Continuing with the first presentation, I would like to offer a few theses from today’s "tomorrow," so to speak. First of all, two reservations must be made.
Until the current technological paradigm changes, the economy, which just recently was developing according to the global model, will become mixed (a world of blocs), as it adjusts to the adoption of sanctions, the creation of tactical alliances and conflicts. On this basis, we can foresee parallel technological services emerging in each bloc, and the growth of new forms of corruption associated not with the leading role of the state, but with the introduction and circumvention of inter-bloc restrictions. One might say that corruption is entering the global level.
And secondly, when we consider the economy of the future, we always put aside 10 % for the scenarios of the "black swan" economy, that is, in case, roughly speaking, of an apocalypse, a global catastrophe (such as a world war or a supervolcano eruption). Even the unlikely options must be considered.
As for the baseline scenario, i.e. a progressive economy, the first thing that will happen is a dramatic reduction in wage employment in companies over the horizon of two generations. Companies will be buying competencies and skills, rather than working time. And secondly, based on the current situation with aggravating global conflicts, it is obvious that the economy will get tired of stress, and we will see a major trend towards anthroponomics, that is, a human-centered economy, which will be oriented towards humane values, healthy lifestyle, values of human life, medicine, environment, etc. I foresee the role of this exact sector as the point of most important and rapid growth.
Another important point is the predictive nature of the economy, which today is defined by technologies. This trend will actually eliminate the crises of overproduction, since most of the manufacturing will be order-based. The monetization mechanisms will also change accordingly.
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